Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.5%). Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.6% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Ostapchuk leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 65.5%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 66.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Last 10: Kadri 4-6 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
3
Kadri
Ostapchuk
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
3
Kadri
Ostapchuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
3
Kadri
Ostapchuk
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (12,555)
49.1% (632)
-1.0%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
28.6% (7)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
45.5% (66)
-4.5%
On power play, Kadri has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Kadri shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Kadri
Ostapchuk
Home
49.1% (7,493)
48.6% (329)
Away
48.1% (7,250)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Kadri
Ostapchuk
P1
49.1%
48.5%
P2
48.7%
46.4%
P3
47.9%
50.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |