Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Dowd 48.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 84.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.5%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 73.4%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Kerfoot
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
Last 6: Kerfoot 6-0 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
0
Kerfoot
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
51.2% (666)
+2.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
41.5% (224)
-16.5%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kerfoot shoots left. Dowd is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Dowd
Home
41.7% (60)
48.5% (466)
Away
58.3% (72)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Kerfoot
Dowd
P1
53.8%
48.4%
P2
50.0%
46.8%
P3
47.8%
51.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |