Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Dowd 49.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 58.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 60.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 62.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Lazar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lazar
Dowd
Last 10: Lazar 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Lazar
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (286)
50.7% (379)
+3.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
64.3% (14)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (72)
46.5% (157)
-4.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lazar is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Dowd is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Lazar
Dowd
Home
53.1% (211)
53.7% (244)
Away
48.7% (150)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Lazar
Dowd
P1
45.3%
53.6%
P2
52.8%
44.1%
P3
54.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
58.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |