Morgan Frost vs Nic Dowd

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.7%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 21 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Frost 50.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor Frost leads 27-15 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone Frost 86.7%
Defensive zone Frost 52.3%
Neutral zone Frost 55.8%
Result Morgan Frost favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Frost Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
27 - 15 (42 meetings)
27
15
Frost Dowd
Last 10: Frost 6-4 Dowd

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
20
1
Frost Dowd
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
9
Frost Dowd
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Frost Dowd
10 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Frost
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (3,652)
52.3% (6,036)
-2.6%
Power Play
55.4% (632)
56.1% (164)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (40)
44.1% (1,638)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +10.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Frost shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Frost
Dowd
Home
51.4% (2,101)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
49.8% (2,223)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Frost
Dowd
P1
51.2%
51.5%
P2
51.3%
50.4%
P3
48.8%
50.3%
OT
64.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
68.0%
63.0%
50.6%
Dowd
40.0%
47.0%
50.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 23, 2026 1 15:09 Offensive Morgan Frost
Jan 23, 2026 1 12:14 Offensive Morgan Frost
Feb 25, 2025 3 06:21 Defensive Nic Dowd
Feb 25, 2025 2 17:01 Defensive Nic Dowd
Feb 25, 2025 1 15:16 Offensive Morgan Frost
Oct 23, 2024 3 11:54 Offensive Morgan Frost
Oct 23, 2024 3 11:52 Offensive Morgan Frost
Oct 23, 2024 3 11:44 Neutral Nic Dowd
Oct 23, 2024 2 10:48 Neutral Morgan Frost
Oct 23, 2024 1 06:20 Defensive Nic Dowd
Oct 22, 2024 3 15:05 Defensive Nic Dowd
Oct 22, 2024 3 07:56 Offensive Morgan Frost
Oct 22, 2024 2 07:42 Defensive Nic Dowd
Oct 22, 2024 2 07:37 Offensive Morgan Frost
Oct 22, 2024 1 13:34 Offensive Morgan Frost
Oct 22, 2024 1 13:19 Offensive Morgan Frost
Apr 16, 2024 1 12:43 Offensive Morgan Frost
Dec 14, 2023 OT 04:13 Offensive Nic Dowd
Dec 14, 2023 3 16:36 Neutral Morgan Frost
Dec 14, 2023 2 16:06 Offensive Morgan Frost