Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 60.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Dowd
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
49.7% (292)
+1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (6)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
47.2% (36)
-5.7%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bjugstad
Home
48.2% (471)
48.7% (193)
Away
48.8% (426)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Dowd
Bjugstad
P1
48.3%
41.5%
P2
46.8%
57.3%
P3
51.0%
50.0%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%