Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 86.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Dowd
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Dowd
Bjugstad
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Dowd
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
1
Dowd
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
48.6% (6,646)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.2% (829)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
44.3% (614)
-0.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Dowd shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bjugstad
Home
51.9% (3,917)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Dowd
Bjugstad
P1
51.5%
48.9%
P2
50.4%
49.1%
P3
50.3%
48.5%
OT
45.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |