Nic Dowd vs Nick Bjugstad

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nic Dowd holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowd 50.7% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor Dowd leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone Bjugstad 86.1%
Defensive zone Dowd 67.2%
Neutral zone Dowd 56.6%
Result Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Dowd Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 5 (15 meetings)
10
5
Dowd Bjugstad
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Bjugstad

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Dowd Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
1
Dowd Bjugstad
8 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowd
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
48.6% (6,646)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.2% (829)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
44.3% (614)
-0.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +3.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Dowd shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bjugstad
Home
51.9% (3,917)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Dowd
Bjugstad
P1
51.5%
48.9%
P2
50.4%
49.1%
P3
50.3%
48.5%
OT
45.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%
47.0%
50.7%
Bjugstad
42.0%
48.0%
49.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 9, 2025 2 11:55 Offensive Nick Bjugstad
Nov 18, 2024 2 19:25 Defensive Nic Dowd
Nov 18, 2024 2 11:22 Offensive Nick Bjugstad
Nov 18, 2024 1 11:05 Neutral Nic Dowd
Nov 18, 2024 1 07:46 Neutral Nic Dowd
Nov 18, 2024 1 03:05 Neutral Nic Dowd
Dec 4, 2023 3 08:01 Neutral Nick Bjugstad
Dec 4, 2023 3 04:55 Offensive Nick Bjugstad
Dec 4, 2023 1 12:20 Defensive Nic Dowd
Nov 5, 2022 3 15:14 Neutral Nic Dowd
Mar 7, 2020 3 04:10 Neutral Nic Dowd
Mar 7, 2020 3 04:04 Neutral Nic Dowd
Feb 14, 2018 3 06:45 Neutral Nic Dowd
Nov 18, 2017 3 08:28 Offensive Nic Dowd
Nov 18, 2017 1 18:27 Defensive Nick Bjugstad