Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Hischier 55.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 90.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.5%
Neutral zone
Hischier 70.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Dowd
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Dowd
Hischier
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
5
Dowd
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
55.5% (1,172)
-4.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.5% (265)
-64.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
43.9% (164)
-2.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +64.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hischier
Home
48.2% (471)
56.8% (791)
Away
48.8% (426)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Dowd
Hischier
P1
48.3%
56.0%
P2
46.8%
58.6%
P3
51.0%
53.5%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |