Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Hischier 52.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 59-41 in 100 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 83.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 67.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Dowd
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
59
(100 meetings)
41
59
Dowd
Hischier
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
42
Dowd
Hischier
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
30
5
Dowd
Hischier
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
9
12
Dowd
Hischier
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
51.6% (8,444)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
59.9% (1,749)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
49.3% (918)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hischier
Home
51.9% (3,917)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Dowd
Hischier
P1
51.5%
52.9%
P2
50.4%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
52.7%
OT
45.9%
50.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |