Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Acciari 50.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 60.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 62.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 59.1%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Dowd
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dowd
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
52.7% (313)
-1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
33.3% (18)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
49.7% (195)
-8.2%
On power play, Acciari has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Acciari is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Dowd
Acciari
Home
48.2% (471)
52.6% (291)
Away
48.8% (426)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Dowd
Acciari
P1
48.3%
53.7%
P2
46.8%
51.1%
P3
51.0%
48.5%
OT
30.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |