Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Acciari 53.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 83.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Dowd
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Dowd
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Dowd
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
54.5% (532)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
62.5% (8)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
48.8% (86)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Acciari is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Dowd
Acciari
Home
53.7% (445)
56.2% (281)
Away
47.7% (407)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Dowd
Acciari
P1
48.8%
53.4%
P2
49.3%
57.1%
P3
54.0%
51.4%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |