Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Acciari 53.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 57.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 71.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 50.9%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Dowd
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dowd
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Dowd
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
56.7% (393)
-4.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
33.3% (3)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
48.0% (202)
-4.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Acciari is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Dowd
Acciari
Home
51.5% (619)
54.5% (279)
Away
48.1% (576)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Dowd
Acciari
P1
51.7%
56.9%
P2
51.6%
51.4%
P3
47.0%
53.2%
OT
22.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |