Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.3%). Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Moore 48.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 79.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.1%
Result
Oliver Moore favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Dowd
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowd
Moore
Last 6: Dowd 2-4 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Dowd
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
2
3
Dowd
Moore
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
50.3% (187)
+0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
33.3% (15)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
0.0% (3)
+41.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Moore is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Dowd
Moore
Home
48.2% (471)
52.3% (132)
Away
48.8% (426)
41.1% (73)
By Period
Dowd
Moore
P1
48.3%
44.3%
P2
46.8%
54.2%
P3
51.0%
46.5%
OT
30.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |