Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Moore 48.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 95.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.1%
Neutral zone
Moore 59.7%
Result
Oliver Moore favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Dowd
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowd
Moore
Last 6: Dowd 2-4 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Dowd
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
2
3
Dowd
Moore
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
49.1% (212)
+3.2%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
31.3% (16)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
25.0% (4)
+19.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Moore is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Dowd
Moore
Home
51.9% (3,917)
50.4% (141)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
42.9% (91)
By Period
Dowd
Moore
P1
51.5%
44.7%
P2
50.4%
49.3%
P3
50.3%
48.1%
OT
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |