Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 87.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Dowd
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dowd
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Dowd
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
45.4% (527)
+9.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
41.2% (17)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
44.9% (138)
-6.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Dowd
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.7% (445)
46.1% (336)
Away
47.7% (407)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Dowd
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.8%
49.1%
P2
49.3%
45.3%
P3
54.0%
42.0%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |