Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Poehling 48.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 74.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Dowd
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
8
(28 meetings)
20
8
Dowd
Poehling
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Dowd
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
10
0
Dowd
Poehling
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
9
6
Dowd
Poehling
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
49.6% (2,780)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
51.6% (93)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
41.7% (635)
+2.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Dowd
Poehling
Home
51.9% (3,917)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Dowd
Poehling
P1
51.5%
50.8%
P2
50.4%
47.1%
P3
50.3%
47.2%
OT
45.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |