Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Strome 45.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 82.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 58.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Dowd
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dowd
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Dowd
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
45.4% (315)
+5.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
35.7% (28)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
50.0% (4)
-8.5%
On power play, Strome has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Strome is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Dowd
Strome
Home
48.2% (471)
42.6% (188)
Away
48.8% (426)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Dowd
Strome
P1
48.3%
38.6%
P2
46.8%
48.4%
P3
51.0%
46.2%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |