Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Strome 44.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 36-19 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 63.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 91.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Dowd
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
19
(55 meetings)
36
19
Dowd
Strome
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
6
14
Dowd
Strome
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
23
1
Dowd
Strome
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
4
Dowd
Strome
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
44.2% (6,887)
+8.1%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
49.2% (855)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
41.5% (410)
+2.6%
On even strength, Dowd has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Dowd shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Dowd
Strome
Home
51.9% (3,917)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Dowd
Strome
P1
51.5%
43.9%
P2
50.4%
45.4%
P3
50.3%
44.4%
OT
45.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |