Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.0%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Bennett 48.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 84.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Dowd
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dowd
Bennett
Last 9: Dowd 4-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Dowd
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Dowd
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
46.4% (811)
+4.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.9% (153)
-56.9%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
47.8% (46)
-6.3%
On power play, Bennett has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bennett
Home
48.2% (471)
49.9% (553)
Away
48.8% (426)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Dowd
Bennett
P1
48.3%
47.4%
P2
46.8%
46.8%
P3
51.0%
48.9%
OT
30.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |