Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 28-28 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 93.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.9%
Neutral zone
Bennett 55.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Dowd
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
28
(56 meetings)
28
28
Dowd
Bennett
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
5
14
Dowd
Bennett
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
14
6
Dowd
Bennett
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
9
8
Dowd
Bennett
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
46.8% (5,714)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
53.6% (558)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
41.8% (256)
+2.3%
On even strength, Dowd has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,269).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bennett
Home
51.9% (3,917)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Dowd
Bennett
P1
51.5%
48.0%
P2
50.4%
46.5%
P3
50.3%
46.8%
OT
45.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |