Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.5% vs Kuraly 49.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 62.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 62.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Dowd
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (485)
50.8% (370)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (186)
44.1% (127)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dowd is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Dowd shoots right. Kuraly is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kuraly
Home
48.5% (307)
52.8% (269)
Away
50.3% (366)
44.7% (228)
By Period
Dowd
Kuraly
P1
50.7%
53.2%
P2
49.1%
45.8%
P3
49.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |