Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 63.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 53.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Dowd
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
52.6% (464)
-1.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
46.5% (155)
-5.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kuraly
Home
48.2% (471)
55.9% (322)
Away
48.8% (426)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Dowd
Kuraly
P1
48.3%
55.9%
P2
46.8%
46.7%
P3
51.0%
50.7%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |