Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Pinto 51.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 56.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 58.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Dowd
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dowd
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Dowd
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
50.5% (556)
+0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
68.0% (25)
-68.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
51.1% (94)
-9.6%
On power play, Pinto has a +68.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Dowd
Pinto
Home
48.2% (471)
50.0% (310)
Away
48.8% (426)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Dowd
Pinto
P1
48.3%
51.8%
P2
46.8%
49.8%
P3
51.0%
53.1%
OT
30.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |