Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.4%). Look for Pinto on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Pinto 50.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 85.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 57.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Dowd
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Dowd
Pinto
Last 10: Dowd 3-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
8
Dowd
Pinto
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
2
Dowd
Pinto
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
50.7% (2,752)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
54.4% (90)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
45.6% (239)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Dowd shoots right. Pinto is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Dowd
Pinto
Home
51.9% (3,917)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Dowd
Pinto
P1
51.5%
48.4%
P2
50.4%
51.9%
P3
50.3%
50.9%
OT
45.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |