Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Meier 48.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 79.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Dowd
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
41.1% (95)
+9.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
65.4% (26)
-65.4%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
50.0% (2)
-8.5%
On power play, Meier has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Meier is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Dowd
Meier
Home
48.2% (471)
40.4% (57)
Away
48.8% (426)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Dowd
Meier
P1
48.3%
34.0%
P2
46.8%
50.9%
P3
51.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |