Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Meier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Meier 44.0% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 95.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 66.3%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Dowd
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowd
Meier
Last 7: Dowd 4-3 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
0
3
Dowd
Meier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Meier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Meier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
41.3% (470)
+11.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
51.5% (103)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
35.7% (14)
+8.4%
On even strength, Dowd has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Meier is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Dowd
Meier
Home
51.9% (3,917)
43.2% (280)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
42.7% (307)
By Period
Dowd
Meier
P1
51.5%
43.3%
P2
50.4%
44.7%
P3
50.3%
40.4%
OT
45.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |