Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Frederic 54.7% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 91.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.4%
Neutral zone
Frederic 75.1%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Dowd
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
57.6% (151)
-6.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
On power play, Frederic has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Frederic is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Dowd
Frederic
Home
48.2% (471)
55.6% (81)
Away
48.8% (426)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Dowd
Frederic
P1
48.3%
57.7%
P2
46.8%
54.3%
P3
51.0%
60.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |