Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Frederic 46.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Frederic 86.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 67.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Dowd
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Dowd
Frederic
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Frederic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd
Frederic
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Frederic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
46.3% (909)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
63.3% (30)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
35.5% (31)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Frederic is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Dowd
Frederic
Home
51.9% (3,917)
47.6% (485)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
45.4% (485)
By Period
Dowd
Frederic
P1
51.5%
41.9%
P2
50.4%
48.0%
P3
50.3%
49.8%
OT
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |