Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Lewis 45.0% (+11.4%)
Offensive zone
Lewis 77.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.6%
Neutral zone
Lewis 52.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Dowd
Lewis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
42.5% (127)
+12.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
66.7% (6)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
38.8% (49)
+6.7%
On even strength, Dowd has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Lewis is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Dowd
Lewis
Home
58.2% (462)
47.4% (95)
Away
49.3% (481)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Dowd
Lewis
P1
55.6%
36.4%
P2
50.5%
45.8%
P3
53.9%
43.6%
Final 5 min
53.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.3%