Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Lewis 44.3% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Lewis 92.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.6%
Neutral zone
Lewis 51.2%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Dowd
Lewis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
41.8% (251)
+13.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
45.5% (11)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
44.7% (47)
-6.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Lewis is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Dowd
Lewis
Home
53.7% (445)
39.2% (166)
Away
47.7% (407)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Dowd
Lewis
P1
48.8%
45.2%
P2
49.3%
43.8%
P3
54.0%
37.8%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%