Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.5% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 58.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Dowd
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Dowd
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Dowd
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
2
Dowd
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (485)
54.1% (355)
-0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.8% (13)
-53.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (186)
47.6% (143)
-7.8%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Dowd is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Dowd shoots right. Dellandrea is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Dowd
Dellandrea
Home
48.5% (307)
54.3% (278)
Away
50.3% (366)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Dowd
Dellandrea
P1
50.7%
54.2%
P2
49.1%
50.6%
P3
49.6%
51.8%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |