Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Kozak 49.7% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 50.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 68.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Dowd
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
49.3% (294)
+1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.0% (5)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
50.0% (40)
-8.5%
On power play, Kozak has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Kozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kozak
Home
48.2% (471)
45.5% (145)
Away
48.8% (426)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Dowd
Kozak
P1
48.3%
53.4%
P2
46.8%
50.0%
P3
51.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%