Nic Dowd vs Vincent Trocheck

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowd 49.5% vs Trocheck 55.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor Trocheck leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone Trocheck 72.1%
Defensive zone Dowd 83.5%
Neutral zone Dowd 60.4%
Result Nic Dowd favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Dowd Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 10 (18 meetings)
8
10
Dowd Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Trocheck

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
7
Dowd Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd Trocheck
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (485)
57.3% (482)
-3.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
67.8% (118)
-67.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (186)
42.6% (108)
-2.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +67.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
48.5% (307)
52.0% (273)
Away
50.3% (366)
59.8% (435)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
50.7%
55.1%
P2
49.1%
61.1%
P3
49.6%
54.1%
OT
30.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
55.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%
54.0%
49.5%
Trocheck
60.0%
62.0%
56.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 31, 2025 3 15:12 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 31, 2025 2 18:03 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 31, 2025 2 14:56 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 31, 2025 2 14:13 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 31, 2025 2 14:00 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 31, 2025 2 07:33 Neutral Vincent Trocheck
Dec 31, 2025 2 04:39 Defensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 31, 2025 1 15:14 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 3 13:39 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 3 09:18 Neutral Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 3 02:35 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 3 02:23 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 3 00:48 Defensive Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 2 17:55 Offensive Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 2 14:40 Neutral Nic Dowd
Dec 23, 2025 2 10:54 Offensive Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 2 00:23 Neutral Vincent Trocheck
Dec 23, 2025 1 07:49 Offensive Vincent Trocheck