Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.5% vs Trocheck 55.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 72.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Dowd
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Dowd
Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
7
Dowd
Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd
Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (485)
57.3% (482)
-3.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
67.8% (118)
-67.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (186)
42.6% (108)
-2.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +67.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
48.5% (307)
52.0% (273)
Away
50.3% (366)
59.8% (435)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
50.7%
55.1%
P2
49.1%
61.1%
P3
49.6%
54.1%
OT
30.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |