Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 68.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Dowd
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Dowd
Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
7
Dowd
Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd
Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
58.0% (666)
-7.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.8% (165)
-64.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
43.4% (152)
-1.9%
On power play, Trocheck has a +64.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
48.2% (471)
55.3% (436)
Away
48.8% (426)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
48.3%
56.4%
P2
46.8%
58.7%
P3
51.0%
55.5%
OT
30.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |