Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 58-38 in 96 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 74.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 76.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Dowd
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
58
(96 meetings)
38
58
Dowd
Trocheck
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
45
Dowd
Trocheck
49 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
23
2
Dowd
Trocheck
25 total
Neutral Zone
Even
11
11
Dowd
Trocheck
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
53.7% (10,944)
-1.4%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
60.9% (1,870)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
49.5% (1,472)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Dowd shoots right. Trocheck is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,361).
Home / Away
Dowd
Trocheck
Home
51.9% (3,917)
56.3% (7,160)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
52.2% (7,126)
By Period
Dowd
Trocheck
P1
51.5%
54.1%
P2
50.4%
54.7%
P3
50.3%
54.0%
OT
45.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |