Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 51.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 61.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Last 7: Dickinson 5-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dickinson
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
50.7% (906)
+0.5%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
48.1% (108)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
44.4% (239)
-1.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Dickinson shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Home
52.9% (664)
49.8% (643)
Away
46.7% (572)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Dickinson
Bjugstad
P1
49.0%
49.4%
P2
48.3%
50.5%
P3
52.5%
47.9%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |