Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Roy 48.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 52.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 65.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Bjugstad
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bjugstad
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
49.5% (746)
+6.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.7% (75)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
42.7% (110)
+14.4%
On power play, Roy has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Bjugstad shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Roy
Home
53.2% (111)
47.7% (491)
Away
56.9% (144)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Bjugstad
Roy
P1
44.6%
51.1%
P2
61.4%
44.6%
P3
61.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |