Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Roy 51.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Bjugstad
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bjugstad
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Bjugstad
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
51.9% (547)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
53.3% (92)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Bjugstad shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Roy
Home
48.7% (193)
54.0% (328)
Away
50.4% (141)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Bjugstad
Roy
P1
41.5%
53.5%
P2
57.3%
51.6%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |