Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Cates 45.5% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Cates 72.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Bjugstad
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
45.5% (756)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
42.1% (114)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
44.7% (47)
+2.5%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. Cates is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Cates
Home
48.7% (193)
46.2% (468)
Away
50.4% (141)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Bjugstad
Cates
P1
41.5%
46.0%
P2
57.3%
47.5%
P3
50.0%
42.1%
OT
33.3%
18.2%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%