Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Hartman 45.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 66.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 53.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Bjugstad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
45.1% (874)
+4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
47.4% (95)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
37.5% (16)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Bjugstad shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Hartman
Home
48.7% (193)
45.0% (515)
Away
50.4% (141)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Bjugstad
Hartman
P1
41.5%
47.3%
P2
57.3%
40.1%
P3
50.0%
48.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |