Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Hartman 45.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 66.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 60.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 62.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Bjugstad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Bjugstad
Hartman
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
5
Bjugstad
Hartman
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bjugstad
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
4
Bjugstad
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
45.2% (4,279)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
47.3% (446)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
42.4% (262)
+1.9%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Bjugstad shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Hartman
Home
49.8% (4,023)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Bjugstad
Hartman
P1
48.9%
46.1%
P2
49.1%
42.9%
P3
48.5%
46.7%
OT
61.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |