Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs McLeod 47.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 60.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 57.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Bjugstad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Bjugstad
McLeod
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Bjugstad
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Bjugstad
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
2
Bjugstad
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
49.0% (827)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
44.0% (91)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
43.0% (272)
+4.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
McLeod
Home
48.7% (193)
48.5% (619)
Away
50.4% (141)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Bjugstad
McLeod
P1
41.5%
52.7%
P2
57.3%
43.9%
P3
50.0%
45.8%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |