Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.4%). Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs McLeod 49.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 52.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Bjugstad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Bjugstad
McLeod
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bjugstad
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Bjugstad
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
10
3
Bjugstad
McLeod
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
50.4% (3,376)
-1.8%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
50.7% (296)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
44.1% (644)
+0.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Bjugstad shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
McLeod
Home
49.8% (4,023)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Bjugstad
McLeod
P1
48.9%
50.8%
P2
49.1%
48.0%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
61.3%
37.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |