Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Poehling 48.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 58.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 68.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 58.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Bjugstad
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
50.4% (680)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
38.8% (219)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Poehling
Home
48.7% (193)
47.4% (422)
Away
50.4% (141)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Bjugstad
Poehling
P1
41.5%
53.3%
P2
57.3%
40.3%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |