Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Poehling 48.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 67.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 61.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Bjugstad
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Bjugstad
Poehling
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
Bjugstad
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bjugstad
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
49.6% (2,780)
-1.0%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
51.6% (93)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
41.7% (635)
+2.6%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Bjugstad shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Poehling
Home
49.8% (4,023)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Bjugstad
Poehling
P1
48.9%
50.8%
P2
49.1%
47.1%
P3
48.5%
47.2%
OT
61.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |