Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Bennett 48.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 77.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 65.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Bjugstad
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Bjugstad
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Bjugstad
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
46.4% (811)
+3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
56.9% (153)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
47.8% (46)
-0.6%
On power play, Bennett has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bennett
Home
48.7% (193)
49.9% (553)
Away
50.4% (141)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bennett
P1
41.5%
47.4%
P2
57.3%
46.8%
P3
50.0%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |