Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Bennett 47.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 66.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Bjugstad
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
17
(33 meetings)
16
17
Bjugstad
Bennett
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
5
Bjugstad
Bennett
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
2
Bjugstad
Bennett
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
4
10
Bjugstad
Bennett
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
46.8% (5,714)
+1.8%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
53.6% (558)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
41.8% (256)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,269).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bennett
Home
49.8% (4,023)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bennett
P1
48.9%
48.0%
P2
49.1%
46.5%
P3
48.5%
46.8%
OT
61.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |