Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Steel 52.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 68.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 52.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Bjugstad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Bjugstad
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Bjugstad
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Bjugstad
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
56.9% (320)
-10.2%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
71.4% (7)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
37.0% (73)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Steel
Home
47.3% (220)
55.9% (202)
Away
47.5% (217)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Bjugstad
Steel
P1
46.1%
55.5%
P2
46.3%
55.1%
P3
50.4%
50.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
47.4%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |