Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Aho 50.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 77.4%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 73.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Bjugstad
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Bjugstad
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
50.5% (878)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
53.5% (144)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
44.3% (61)
+2.9%
On power play, Aho has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Aho
Home
48.7% (193)
53.8% (571)
Away
50.4% (141)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Bjugstad
Aho
P1
41.5%
49.0%
P2
57.3%
51.7%
P3
50.0%
50.3%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |