Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Nosek 48.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 54.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Bjugstad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bjugstad
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
52.0% (102)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
29.0% (31)
+18.2%
On power play, Nosek has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nosek
Home
48.7% (193)
52.0% (50)
Away
50.4% (141)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nosek
P1
41.5%
45.0%
P2
57.3%
42.0%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |