Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Jost 44.8% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 58.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 86.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 79.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Bjugstad
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Bjugstad
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
39.5% (86)
+10.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
42.9% (7)
+4.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. Jost is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Jost
Home
48.7% (193)
38.9% (54)
Away
50.4% (141)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Bjugstad
Jost
P1
41.5%
42.4%
P2
57.3%
37.8%
P3
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |