Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Jost 40.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 94.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 92.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 88.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Bjugstad
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Bjugstad
Jost
Last 10: Bjugstad 6-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
5
2
Bjugstad
Jost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
Bjugstad
Jost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
1
Bjugstad
Jost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
41.0% (2,016)
+7.6%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
34.2% (73)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
35.2% (256)
+9.1%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Bjugstad shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Jost
Home
49.8% (4,023)
41.9% (1,240)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
38.1% (1,105)
By Period
Bjugstad
Jost
P1
48.9%
38.5%
P2
49.1%
41.1%
P3
48.5%
40.9%
OT
61.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |